USDCAD, Canadian Inflation Hits 1991 Levels
Against the backdrop of Canadian macroeconomic statistics, the USD/CAD pair shows local sideways dynamics, trading at 1.2691.
According to the January report, Canada's consumer price index rose by 0.9% MoM instead of 0.6% expected, which contributed to the growth of the annual rate to 5.1%, which is higher than 4.8% in December. The same index, excluding prices for raw materials and food products, was 4.3%, rising from 4.0% a month earlier. According to a report released Wednesday by the National Bureau of Statistics, Canada's inflation rate rose to 5.1% last year, the highest since September 1991. With labor market indicators, this growth is not as critical as in the US, and the Bank of Canada has the time and opportunity to control the situation.
The American currency continues to trade without pronounced dynamics, as declines due to ambiguous macroeconomic statistics replace the rises almost the next day. The current local weakening is associated with another increase in the number of people receiving unemployment benefits, which this week amounted to 248K against 225K a week earlier. Analysts had expected a decline to 219K, and the final result disappointed the market. We should also note a significant reduction in the index of manufacturing activity from the Philadelphia Fed, which fell to 16.0 points in February from 23.2 points a month earlier.
Support and resistance
On the global chart, the price moves within the local triangle pattern. Technical indicators are in the state of a local buy signal: the range of EMA fluctuations on the Alligator indicator is directed upwards, and the AO oscillator histogram forms ascending bars in the buying zone.
Support levels: 1.2656, 1.2520.
Resistance levels: 1.2747, 1.2880.